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Forecasting the world in 2020

Will France’s Emmanuel Macron engineer a ‘reset’ with Vladimir Putin’s Russia? 

No. The French president has made ambitious overtures to bring Russia back into the fold. But the path to any broader reset runs through a peace deal in Ukraine — which is unlikely. Ukraine’s president Volodymyr Zelensky was elected in part on a pledge to end the simmering conflict in the country’s east. He cannot agree, however, to Moscow’s demands to grant “special status” to the Donbass — which Kyiv fears would enable Russia to maintain leverage through its proxies there, making the region a kind of cancer inside Ukraine. More limited resumption of dialogue with Russia is possible, though. Neil Buckley

Will we see meaningful regulation of big tech?

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