The writer advised Mitt Romney’s 2012 presidential campaign and served in the administration of George W Bush
Can Donald Trump pull a rabbit out of the hat and win re-election as US president? Not according to most pundits, reflecting the widespread disapproval of his job performance. But don’t write him off yet.
Amid a pandemic, a recession, and a period of civil unrest, it would be difficult for any incumbent to win re-election — let alone one as polarising as Mr Trump. He trails Democrat Joe Biden by eight points in the average of national polls compiled by the FiveThirtyEight website. State-by-state polls suggest his path to a majority in the electoral college is daunting.
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