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Hoped-for global public investment boom may offer road to nowhere

Lessons from Japan: Past public works hint at what to expect as IMF urges governments to loosen purse strings

On the northern Japanese island of Hokkaido, the motorway from Honbetsu to Ashoro is engineered to the highest standards: fully separated intersections, a hard shoulder and stretches of dual carriageway for overtaking. All it lacks is vehicles.

Intended as the first stage of a highway reaching almost to the Sea of Okhotsk, the 13.2km stretch is used by about 1,300 vehicles a day, similar to a main road in Scotland’s Outer Hebrides.

The motorway marks the apex of Japan’s massive programme of public works in the 1990s and early 2000s — and as pressure mounts on other countries around the world to embark on major spending drives to combat the economic impact of coronavirus, it also offers a lesson in what can go wrong.

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