展望2021

Forecasting the world in 2021

FT writers share their predictions for the new year, from the availability and take-up of Covid-19 vaccines to the fortunes of the S&P 500

Will large-scale demonstrations erupt again in Hong Kong against China’s authority?

No. China's imposition of the national security law this year has changed the calculus of would-be demonstrators in Hong Kong. Sporadic protests at Beijing's toughened regime in the territory may erupt from time to time in 2021, but it is hard to imagine these becoming large and sustained. The new law criminalises acts of “secession, subversion, terrorism and collusion” and provides for sentences of up to life imprisonment. Police are also much quicker to pounce on any sign of unrest. James Kynge

Will India’s economy return to its pre-Covid size?

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