观点金融市场

Narrow markets should humble macro forecasters
股市的“狭窄”让宏观预测者站不住脚

Asset allocators can’t count on long-term regional equity predictions when returns are dominated by superstar companies
南格尔:当少数明星公司主导着大盘的表现时,资产配置者不能依赖于与本地宏观manbetx20客户端下载 展望挂钩的股市长期回报预测。

The writer is a former global head of asset allocation at a fund managerThis year has been marked by strong equity markets, and what looks to be an astonishingly narrow rally. Of the 16.9 per cent returned by the S&P 500 index in the first half of this year, 12.9 per cent derived from the performance of only 10 companies.

本文作者曾是一家基金管理公司的manbetx app苹果 资产配置主管

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