The last four years have brought three huge shocks: Covid; post-Covid supply disruption; and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the subsequent surges in commodity prices. Is this series of vast shocks now over? The deadly assault on Israel and conflict in Gaza suggests that the answer may be “no”. Recent turmoil in bond markets is another mark of persistent lack of predictability.
过去四年带来了三次巨大冲击:新冠疫情,疫情后供应中断,俄罗斯入侵乌克兰以及随之而来的大宗商品价格飙升。这一系列巨大冲击是否已结束?对以色列的致命袭击和加沙冲突表明,答案可能是“不”。最近债券市场的动荡是持续缺乏可预测性的另一个标志。
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