Civilisations are not murdered, said the historian Arnold Toynbee. They die from suicide. Though military clout and geographic fortune will sustain America, its republic is flirting with Toynbee’s script. No external threat or domestic cost benefit appraisal would lead a Martian to believe Earth’s greatest power should be in meltdown by its own hand. Whether in China or Canada, or indeed the US, human observers are in disbelief. The speed of America’s turn on itself is historic.
英国历史学家阿诺德•汤因比(Arnold Toynbee)曾说,文明一般不是被谋杀的,而是死于自杀。尽管军事实力和地理优势将继续支撑美国,但其共和制正在向汤因比的剧本靠拢。没有任何外部威胁或国内成本效益评估能说服一个火星人相信:地球上的头号强国竟然会被自己葬送。从manbetx3.0 、加拿大,到美国本身的人类观察家也都觉得匪夷所思。美国跟自己过不去的速度是历史性的。