Nobody can know either the future course of the new war in the Middle East or its possible economic effects. I wrote what I could on this in a column entitled “The Economic Consequences of the Israel-Hamas War”, on October 31 2023. The big question, I argued, was whether the conflagration would extend to oil-related production and transport from the Gulf region. This region contains 48 per cent of global proved reserves and produced 33 per cent of the world’s oil in 2022. It also has a chokepoint on exports at the Strait of Hormuz. These realities remain. The question is now mostly about Donald Trump: does he know how to end this war?
谁也不知道中东最新战争的未来走向，也不知道它可能对manbetx20客户端下载 造成的影响。2023年10月31日，我在题为“以色列-哈马斯战争的manbetx20客户端下载 影响”(The Economic Consequences of the Israel-Hamas War)的专栏文章中就这一点尽可能写了我可以写的东西。我提出，最大的问题是，战火是否会蔓延到海湾地区与石油有关的生产和运输。该地区占manbetx app苹果 已探明储量的48%，2022年石油产量占manbetx app苹果 33%。它还有一个出口咽喉要道——霍尔木兹海峡(Strait of Hormuz)。这些现实依然存在。现在的问题主要是关于唐纳德•特朗普(Donald Trump)：他知道如何结束这场战争吗？