观点人口

Demographic doom-mongering isn’t helping
别再贩卖人口焦虑

Frankly, I doubt that the human race is going to become the first species in recorded history that chooses to go extinct
布什:我不认为人类会成为有记载以来第一个选择走向灭绝的物种。比起生育率下降,世界面临更为紧迫的威胁。

The world has a problem. Fertility rates are falling almost everywhere, which helps to drive one of our pressing policy challenges: worsening care-dependency ratios or, essentially, the number of people in the working age population available to support, one way or another, those outside it. (I say “one way or another” because a working age adult taking time out to look after young children or ageing relatives is making a contribution, just as much as if they paid someone else to do it for them.) 

世界有个问题。几乎所有地方的生育率都在下降,这是造成我们面临一个紧迫政策挑战的原因之一。这个挑战就是:抚养比持续恶化,也就是说,能够以某种方式支持非劳动年龄人口的劳动年龄人口持续萎缩。(我说“某种方式”,是因为处于劳动年龄的成年人花时间照顾未成年人或年迈亲属,与他们花钱请别人代替他们照顾一样,都是在做出贡献。)

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