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Chart of the Week: The yen-yield break-up

The dollar-yen exchange rate is moving opposite the traditional pattern with yields

This article is an on-site version of our Unhedged: Chart of the Week newsletter. You sign up here to get the newsletter delivered every Saturday, or explore all FT newsletters

Chart showing how Japan’s yield gap with the US is narrowing, but the yen is continuing to weaken

Good morning. As a rule, movements in the yen/dollar exchange rate track changes in the interest rate gap between Japan and the US. This follows economic logic: a widening rate differential attracts capital to the higher-rate country, driving up the value of its currency. So, for example, the yen weakened against the dollar throughout 2022 as the US Federal Reserve aggressively raised its policy rates, while the Bank of Japan held tight close to zero.

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