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Japanese births set to fall below lowest official forecasts in 2025

Demographers warn new births to hit lowest level since records began in 1899 as population crisis deepens

The number of Japanese births this year is on track to fall short of even the government’s most pessimistic forecasts, deepening the challenge for Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi as she seeks to balance economic growth and limits on immigration with a rapidly shrinking population.

Demographics experts, basing their calculations on preliminary data for the first 10 months of the year, expect that the total number of births of Japanese babies for 2025 is likely to come in below 670,000.

That would be the lowest level since records began in 1899, and 16 years earlier than projected by government forecasts.

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