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Chart of the Week: Higher oil prices are just a short-term worry

Long-term inflation expectations are staying steady

This article is an on-site version of our Unhedged: Chart of the Week newsletter. You sign up here to get the newsletter delivered every Saturday, or explore all FT newsletters

The correlation between inflation expectations and high oil prices breaks apart in this chart showing the two between 2021 and 2026.

Good morning. The war in the Middle East has driven oil prices to the highest level since 2022. Unsurprisingly, near-term inflation forecasts have ticked up. Futures traders are no longer expecting a Federal Reserve rate cut this year, and short-term Treasury yields have risen. 

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