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Oil price surge from Iran war will hurt US growth and slow interest rate cuts, economists warn

FT-Booth Survey shows unease about impact of the war on US growth and prices

Soaring oil prices threaten to hit US growth, worsen inflation and keep the Federal Reserve from lowering interest rates, top economists have warned ahead of the central bank’s first rate decision since the Iran war began.

US oil prices have jumped almost 50 per cent since the US and Israel struck Iran at the end of last month to about $95 a barrel, sending the costs of petrol and diesel at the pump surging higher.

The majority of academic economists polled by the Clark Center for Global Markets on behalf of the FT said that if oil prices were to remain at $100 a barrel, slightly above their current level, US growth will decline markedly.

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