TIME TO BUY?

Nobody could disagree. But the extreme fear that was in evidence did not guarantee that stocks had hit a bottom. Mr Buffett acknowledged as much in his column for The New York Times and advised investors not even to try to time the market. His point was that stocks were cheap, so people should not take the risk of waiting.

"I haven't the faintest idea as to whether stocks will be higher or lower a month - or a year - from now," he wrote. "What is likely, however, is that the market will move higher, perhaps substantially so, well before either sentiment or the economy turns up. So if you wait for the robins, spring will be over."

But is there a way of telling when equities might have hit bottom? Certainly, when fear overcomes greed to this extent, attempts to assess a stock's value according to fundamental measures go out of the window. Instead, all people have to go on is history. Yet precedents as extreme as last month's "Black October" are few. Only four periods in the past 100 years (two of them during the 1930s) match the 46 per cent slide since the Standard & Poor's 500, the world's most widely tracked index, reached an all-time high in October last year.

您已阅读17%(1177字),剩余83%(5860字)包含更多重要信息,订阅以继续探索完整内容,并享受更多专属服务。
版权声明:本文版权归manbetx20客户端下载 所有,未经允许任何单位或个人不得转载,复制或以任何其他方式使用本文全部或部分,侵权必究。

约翰•奥瑟兹

约翰•奥瑟兹(John Authers)是英国《金融时报》的Lex主编,是manbetx app苹果 最具影响力的金融市场专家之一。他于1990年加入FT,曾经担任美国市场编辑、美国银行记者和墨西哥分社社长。奥瑟兹毕业于牛津大学,并且拥有哥伦比亚大学的MBA学位。

相关文章

设置字号×
最小
较小
默认
较大
最大
分享×