A couple of years ago Brian Arthur, an academic affiliated with the Palo Alto Research Center, made a startling prediction. In the next two to three decades, western digital networks would end up performing functions equal to the size of the “real” US economy. Or, to put it another way, if you looked at all the work being done by electronic supply chains, robots, communications systems – and the humble bar code – then the digital economy would “surpass the physical economy in size”, Arthur wrote, on the basis of productivity and output calculations.
两年前,供职于帕洛阿尔托研究中心(Palo Alto Research Center)的学者布莱恩•亚瑟(Brian Arthur)做出了一项惊人预测。未来二三十年,西方数字网络履行的功能最终将相当于美国“实体”manbetx20客户端下载 的规模。亚瑟写道,或者,换句话说,如果你考察一下电子供应链、机器人、通信系统以及毫不起眼的条形码所做的所有工作,你会发现,根据生产率和产出计算,数字manbetx20客户端下载 将“在规模上超越实体manbetx20客户端下载 ”。