Promising a referendum on Britain’s place in Europe was always a rash gamble — a tactical swerve blind to the strategic consequences. The stakes have risen. The rest of Europe does not want to see the Brits depart, but the EU would muddle on. For the UK, the choice has become existential. If Britain leaves Europe, Scotland will leave Britain. The union of the United Kingdom would not long survive Brexit.
向英国人民许诺要让他们就英国是否留在欧盟(EU)举行公投，向来是场鲁莽的赌博，这一战术转向忽视了战略影响。赌注已经加码。欧盟其他国家并不希望看到英国人离开，但欧盟会应付下去。对于英国来说，离不离开欧盟已成为事关生存的选择。如果英国离开欧盟，苏格兰将离开英国。英国退出欧盟，联合王国的联盟也撑不了多久。
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