观点法国大选

Marine Le Pen has a better chance in France than you think
马琳•勒庞不再是黑马政治家


哈扎里辛格:法国大选意外频出,在右翼失势、中间派地位不稳、左翼内讧的情况下,唯一的受益者是马琳•勒庞。

The most distinctive characteristic of the French presidential election campaign so far has been its dramatic challenge to the French establishment. Former conservative leaders Nicolas Sarkozy and Alain Juppé were soundly defeated in the Republican primary, while the abysmally unpopular François Hollande was forced to withdraw from the race — the first time a sitting president has been too weak to stand for re-election. To complete the rout, prime minister Manuel Valls was pushed out of the Socialist primary by the more radical Benoît Hamon.

目前为止,此次法国总统大选最与众不同的特征,是它给法国建制派带来的巨大挑战。前保守派领导人尼古拉•萨科齐(Nicolas Sarkozy)和阿兰•朱佩(Alain Juppé)在法国共和党(Republican)初选中彻底落败,而极不受欢迎的弗朗索瓦•奥朗德(François Hollande)被迫退出角逐——现任总统弱势到不竞选连任的地步,这是头一次。让建制派的溃败成为定局的是,前总理曼努埃尔•瓦尔斯(Manuel Valls)在社会党(Socialist)初选中败给了更激进的伯努瓦•阿蒙(Benoît Hamon)。

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