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US inflation decline is too persistent to ignore
不能忽视美国通胀偏低


戴维斯:美国通胀连续第4个月出人意料地偏低。就连最初对此不予理会的美联储,也不敢再忽视这个问题了。

The US CPI report for June, published on Friday, was the fourth successive monthly print that surprised on the low side. Initially, these inflation misses were dismissed by the Federal Reserve as idiosyncratic and temporary, but they are now becoming too persistent to ignore. If they are not reversed fairly soon, the FOMC will need to give greater weight to the possibility that inflation may not return to target over the next couple of years.

上周五公布的美国6月份CPI报告,标志着美国通胀连续第4个月在偏低的方向上出人意料。起初,美联储(Fed)对通胀偏低不予理会,认为其具有特殊性和暂时性,但如今,这种局面持续得太久,已无法被忽视。如果这种局面不能很快得到逆转,那么联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)将有必要对通胀在未来两年内无法重返目标水平的可能性给予更大权重。

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