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Fossil fuels could have been left in the dust 25 years ago
化石燃料本可以在25年前就被抛在尘土中

If only we’d followed Wright’s Law, solar tech could have been cheaper much sooner
如果我们早点遵循莱特定律,太阳能技术本来可以更快实现低成本化。

Gordon Moore’s famous prediction about computing power must count as one of the most astonishingly accurate forecasts in history. But it may also have been badly misunderstood — in a way that now looks like a near-catastrophic missed opportunity. If we had grasped the details behind Moore’s Law in the 1980s, we could be living with an abundance of clean energy by now. We fumbled it.

戈登•摩尔(Gordon Moore)对计算能力的著名预测无疑是历史上最准确且惊人的预测之一。然而,它可能被严重误解,现在看来,这几乎是一次灾难性的错失良机。如果我们在20世纪80年代就能深入理解摩尔定律的细节,我们现在可能已经享受着清洁能源的丰富。可惜,我们失误了。

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