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When it comes to buying an electric car, two concerns often deter prospective buyers: driving range and battery safety. Solid-state batteries, which rely on safer, solid electrolytes, have long held the promise of lower fire risk and extended range. Yet, despite years of development and investment, these next-generation batteries have yet to become a reality.
在考虑购买电动汽车时,有两个问题常常令潜在买家望而却步:续航里程和电池安全。依靠更安全的固体电解质的固态电池,一直被认为有望降低起火风险并延长续航里程。然而,尽管经过多年的研发和投资,这些新一代电池仍未成为现实。
For the world’s battery makers that have bet big on the new technology, the clock is ticking as the sector faces squeezed margins and slowing EV sales growth in developed markets. An interim solution addressing safety concerns could provide a lucrative opportunity while buying them more time.
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电池制造商来说,由于该行业利润空间被压缩而且发达市场电动汽车销售增长放缓,剩下的时间已经不多。一个解决安全担忧的临时解决方案可以提供一个有利可图的机会,同时为他们争取更多时间。
The fear of EV battery fires is often amplified by critics. Data shows EVs are far less likely to catch fire compared with petrol or hybrid cars — there are 25 fires per 100,000 EVs sold versus 1,530 for petrol cars, according to the US National Transportation Safety Board.
电动汽车电池起火的恐惧常常被批评者放大。数据显示,与汽油车或混合动力车相比,电动车起火的可能性要小得多——根据美国国家运输安全委员会的数据,每售出10万辆电动车中就会发生25起火灾,而汽油车则为1530起。
But when fires do occur in lithium-ion batteries, they can be more destructive — burning hotter, escalating quickly, and releasing toxic gases — creating a perception of heightened risk. Recent high-profile cases, such as the fire from a parked Mercedes EV, which used a battery made by Chinese maker Farasis Energy, in South Korea late last year have exacerbated fears. The fire took eight hours to extinguish and damaged around 880 other cars in the garage where the vehicle was parked.
但是,当锂离子电池起火时,其破坏性会更大——燃烧温度更高,火势升级迅速,并释放有毒气体——让人们感觉风险更高。最近发生的一些备受瞩目的事故加剧了人们的担忧,如去年年底在韩国发生的一辆停放着的奔驰电动汽车起火事件,该车使用的是manbetx3.0
制造商孚能科技生产的电池。这场大火烧了8个小时才被扑灭,并损毁了停放该车的车库中的其他约880辆汽车。
Solid-state batteries are presented as a safer alternative, especially in high-impact scenarios such as frontal collision. They contain non-flammable solid electrolyte materials instead of the volatile organic liquid electrolytes in more widely used batteries. Some car and battery makers have started testing prototypes and building pilot production lines.
固态电池被认为是一种更安全的替代方案,特别是在正面碰撞等高冲击场景中。它们含有不易燃的固体电解质材料,而不是目前更广泛使用的电池中的易挥发有机液体电解质。一些汽车和电池制造商已经开始测试原型产品并建立试生产线。
But mass production could prove challenging in the short term. Materials used in the batteries are more expensive. New manufacturing facilities require significant investment, especially daunting for a sector already running on slim margins. Established lithium-ion batteries, with decades of development and the advantage of economies of scale, pose a significant barrier for the new technology to compete on cost.
但在短期内,大规模生产可能具有挑战性。此类电池中使用的材料更加昂贵。新的生产设施需要大量投资,这对于一个利润已经很微薄的行业来说尤其艰难。已有数十年发展历史并具备规模manbetx20客户端下载
优势的锂离子电池,对这项新技术在成本上竞争构成了巨大障碍。
In the meantime, it is worth looking at when EV fires are most likely to occur to see where improvements can be made. A total of 511 EV fires occurred between 2010 to the end of last June based on data from 40mn EVs globally, including plug-in hybrids, according to research institute EV FireSafe. The data shows that among fires with identified causes, collisions and road debris accounted for the largest share by far.
在此期间,我们不妨看看电动车火灾最可能在什么情况下发生,从而找出可以改进的地方。根据研究机构EV FireSafe的数据,从2010年到去年6月底,manbetx app苹果
4000万辆电动车(包括插电式混合动力汽车)共发生511起电动汽车火灾。数据显示,在已查明原因的火灾中,碰撞和道路碎片所占比例最大。
This suggests that improvements to the EV’s base structure, using designs and materials that offer better shock absorption during collisions, could help enhance the safety of current lithium-ion batteries — without requiring a complete overhaul of existing battery technology.
这表明,改进电动汽车的底盘结构,采用在碰撞时能更大限度吸收冲击的设计和材料,可以帮助提高当前锂离子电池的安全性,而无需对现有电池技术进行彻底改造。
CATL, the world’s largest EV battery maker, is one of the companies that has adopted this approach. Its latest focus has been on redesigning the flat, skateboard-like platform with four wheels which serves as the foundation of an EV. The goal is to lower the risk of fires by adding protective functions for the battery, such as the ability to disconnect circuits within 0.01 seconds of a collision and discharge residual energy, as well as using submarine-grade high-strength steel in the chassis. In crash tests at speeds of 120km/h, its new design withstood frontal impacts without catching fire, according to the company.
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最大电动汽车电池制造商宁德时代就是采用这种策略的公司之一。它最近的工作重点是重新设计电动底盘——作为电动汽车基础的四轮平板滑板式平台。其目标是通过为电池增加保护性功能(如在碰撞发生后0.01秒内断开电路并释放剩余能量)以及在底盘中使用潜艇级高强度钢来降低起火风险。据该公司称,在以时速120公里进行的碰撞测试中,其新设计经受住了正面撞击而没有起火。
There is an added benefit for battery makers able to offer these features in a single package. The skateboard chassis of EVs consolidates essential components including the batteries, electric motors and controls into a single base structure. This simplifies the manufacturing process, cutting costs and accelerating timelines for new models. It also expands its target market to include automakers and start-ups looking for a quicker entry into the EV market.
对于电池制造商来说,能够在单个封装中提供这些功能还有一个额外的好处。电动汽车的滑板式底盘将包括电池、电动马达和控制器在内的重要部件整合到一个基础结构中。这可以简化制造流程,降低成本,并加快新车型的推出速度。同时,它还将目标市场扩大到了希望更快进入电动汽车市场的汽车制造商和初创企业。
The potential of solid-state batteries to reshape the EV market remains clear. But the longer-than-expected development timeline is adding pressure to battery makers to pursue alternative revenue streams in the meantime. As sales growth in key markets continues to slow, safety-related advancements will become a critical differentiator in driving the next phase of EV adoption.
固态电池重塑电动汽车市场的潜力依然明显。但是,比预期更长的研发时间给电池制造商增加了压力,迫使他们在此期间寻求其他收入来源。随着主要市场的销售增长持续放缓,与安全相关的改进将成为推动下一阶段电动汽车普及的关键差异化因素。
june.yoon@ft.com
june.yoon@ft.com