Gillian Tett will receive a bonus – probably paid in toxic assets – for correctly seeing that the financial crisis could spread, creating a “second chapter” in the credit crunch, but the depth of the sector's problems knocked others off course. Krishna Guha's prediction that the US would avoid recession if it avoided any large shocks might well have been right. But who knows?
吉莲•邰蒂(Gillian Tett)将获得一笔奖金——大概是以不良资产的形式——因为她准确预见到金融危机将扩散，揭开信贷紧缩的“第二篇章”。但金融业问题的严重性导致其他人的预测都不着边际。克里什纳•古哈(Krishna Guha)预测如果美国能够避开所有重大冲击，就能避免陷入衰退，这本来很有可能是正确的。但是谁知道呢？
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