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History vindicates the science of muddling through

When I was a student, Penguin published several collections of classic articles on economics and business. They were an indispensable resource. The first book on business strategy I ever read was the title in that series edited by Dr H. Igor Ansoff. Recently I re-opened it and understood how much changes in the way we think about business strategy – and how much remains the same.

Only one article found there is still widely cited. It was written by the American political scientist Charles Lindblom and published in 1959 under the title The Science of Muddling Through. Prof Lindblom contrasted what he called the “root” method of decision-making with the “branch” approach. The root method required comprehensive evaluation of options in the light of defined objectives. The branch method involved building out, step-by-step and by small degrees, from the current situation. Prof Lindblom claimed “the root method is in fact not usable for complex policy questions”. The practical man must follow the branch approach – the science of muddling through.

Ansoff included Prof Lindblom's article mainly to poke fun at those who acted on this advice. He told students the article was instructive, since “it describes a widely prevalent state of practice in business and government organisations”. We can imagine sniggering MBA students.

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约翰•凯

约翰•凯(John Kay)从1995年开始为英国《金融时报》撰写manbetx20客户端下载 和商业的专栏。他曾经任教于伦敦商学院和牛津大学。目前他在伦敦manbetx20客户端下载 学院担任访问学者。他有着非常辉煌的从商经历,曾经创办和壮大了一家咨询公司,然后将其转售。约翰•凯著述甚丰,其中包括《企业成功的基础》(Foundations of Corporate Success, 1993)、《市场的真相》(The Truth about Markets, 2003)和近期的《金融投资指南》(The Long and the Short of It: finance and investment for normally intelligent people who are not in the industry)。

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