专栏苏格兰

Scotland needs to judge the costs of independence

Scotland is a small country that shares a state with a far bigger one. This is an untidy but, over the centuries, successful relationship. I would be very sad to see it end. Inside the union, the Scots have played a huge role, from the enlightenment to today. England would be vastly worse without them.

Yet, whether I like it or not, Scottish independence is on the agenda. I would make just two points on the process. First, any referendum decision must stand for a generation. Prolonged uncertainty would be costly, above all to the Scots. That is one lesson from the protracted debate over Quebec’s future inside Canada. Second, any referendum should be over a choice between sovereign independence and remaining inside the union. The precise terms of Scotland’s position inside the union is another matter.

If the focus is on independence, the experience of the crisis should transform the debate. This has demonstrated that the results of independence are more complex and perilous than we used to think. This is not to argue that it is infeasible, but that it has implications barely considered even a few years ago.

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马丁•沃尔夫

马丁•沃尔夫(Martin Wolf) 是英国《金融时报》副主编及首席manbetx20客户端下载 评论员。为嘉奖他对财经新闻作出的杰出贡献,沃尔夫于2000年荣获大英帝国勋爵位勋章(CBE)。他是牛津大学纳菲尔德学院客座研究员,并被授予剑桥大学圣体学院和牛津manbetx20客户端下载 政策研究院(Oxonia)院士,同时也是诺丁汉大学特约教授。自1999年和2006年以来,他分别担任达沃斯(Davos)每年一度“世界manbetx20客户端下载 论坛”的特邀评委成员和国际传媒委员会的成员。2006年7月他荣获诺丁汉大学文学博士;在同年12月他又荣获伦敦政治manbetx20客户端下载 学院科学(manbetx20客户端下载 )博士荣誉教授的称号。

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