The closure of the Strait of Hormuz is one of the most foreseen “unforeseen problems” in history. For decades, academics and game theorists have speculated about the possibility that, in wartime, Iran could choke off the narrow waterway through which 20 per cent of the world’s oil exports pass.
霍尔木兹海峡被关闭是史上最多人预见到的“意外问题”之一。几十年来,学者和博弈论专家不断猜测伊朗在战时可能切断这条狭窄水道(manbetx app苹果 20%的石油出口要经过这里)。
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