It took America 12 years from the first Gulf war in 1991 to the second to get rid of Saddam Hussein. The dictator’s capture was followed by years more of Iraqi insurgency. Starting with the financial markets, there is a lot of complacency on how soon the third Gulf war is likely to end. Donald Trump’s Operation Epic Fury on Iran has turned into an epic search for a way out. There is no obvious off-ramp, however, that does not lead back to the highway.
从1991年第一次海湾战争到2003年第二次海湾战争,美国花了12年时间推翻萨达姆•侯赛因(Saddam Hussein)政权。这位独裁者被抓获后,伊拉克又经历了多年的武装叛乱。以金融市场为首,很多人想当然地认为第三次海湾战争很快就会结束。唐纳德•特朗普(Donald Trump)对伊朗发起的“史诗之怒行动”(Operation Epic Fury)已经变成寻找“出口”的史诗般努力。然而目前看得见的“出口”都会把美国带回战争的“高速公路”。