观点AI

Google and peers weigh an AI prisoner’s dilemma

Heavy investment is generating real revenue, but as returns rise, so does rivalry

In the prisoner’s dilemma, individuals who would do best by co-operating instead turn on one another, with less than optimal results. Something like that is playing out on a grand scale as giant technology companies such as Google parent Alphabet and Meta Platforms, both reporting earnings this week, duke it out for supremacy in artificial intelligence.

These so-called hyperscalers, part of a group that also includes Microsoft and Amazon, have gone all-in on servers and data centres used for cloud computing and large language models. By 2026 the foursome will have amassed nearly $1tn in capital expenditure over five years, based on consensus estimates from Visible Alpha.

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