中东战争

The failure of global crisis management
manbetx app苹果 危机管理的失败

Who really runs the world? The answer, nowadays, is nobody
究竟是谁在掌控这个世界?如今的答案是:没有人。

On the morning of March 3, the day after Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz, Fatih Birol, executive director of the International Energy Agency, arrived at his offices in Paris with an urgent request for his staff. He needed them to run the data to double-check what he had written in his journal late the previous night: “The scale of the crisis we are facing is set to make past oil shocks seem like mere warm-up acts.” Sure enough, staff found: more oil would be lost than in both 1970s oil shocks combined. What to do?

3月3日清晨,也就是伊朗关闭霍尔木兹海峡(Strait of Hormuz)的次日,国际能源署(International Energy Agency, IEA)执行主任法提赫•比罗尔(Fatih Birol)抵达位于巴黎的办公室,向下属提出一项紧急要求:请他们跑一遍数据,复核他前一晚深夜在日记中写下的内容——“我们当前所面临危机的规模,将使以往的石油危机都显得不过是热身。” 果然,工作人员发现:本次损失的石油将超过上世纪七十年代两次石油危机损失之和。接下来该怎么办?

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